Polina Kudermetova v Mirra Andreeva
Back to board
Tennis·WTA China Open· 2026-10-04 · 03:00

Polina Kudermetova v Mirra Andreeva

Recommended bet
Mirra Andreeva
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability89%
Implied (with margin)93%
Model edge-4.2%
Odds1.08 1/12
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Polina Kudermetova11%
Mirra Andreeva89%
$2,867 liquidity · $28 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Mirra Andreeva holds serve 72% of games vs Polina Kudermetova's 60%
  • Polina Kudermetova wins only 42% of 2nd-serve points (Mirra Andreeva: 48%)
  • Polina Kudermetova double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Mirra Andreeva's 5%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Mirra Andreeva to win84%1.20—
Polina Kudermetova to win16%6.08—
Match Winner — Mirra Andreeva—1.08—
Match Winner — Polina Kudermetova—8.20—