Rafael Jodar v Shintaro Mochizuki
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Rafael Jodar v Shintaro Mochizuki
Recommended bet
Rafael Jodar
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge+7.4%
Odds1.34 1/3
Why the model leans this way
- Rafael Jodar holds serve 79% of games vs Shintaro Mochizuki's 73%
- Shintaro Mochizuki wins only 48% of 2nd-serve points (Rafael Jodar: 54%)
- Shintaro Mochizuki double-faults on 5% of serve points vs Rafael Jodar's 2%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Rafael Jodar to win90%1.11—
Shintaro Mochizuki to win10%10.50—
Match Winner — Rafael Jodar—1.34—
Match Winner — Shintaro Mochizuki—3.85—