Rafael Jodar v Thanasi Kokkinakis
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Tennis·ATP US Open· 2026-09-01 · 17:20

Rafael Jodar v Thanasi Kokkinakis

Recommended bet
Rafael Jodar
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability85%
Implied (with margin)90%
Model edge-6.0%
Odds1.11 1/9
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Rafael Jodar89%
Thanasi Kokkinakis12%
$18,865 liquidity · $33,830 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Rafael Jodar wins 40% of return points vs Thanasi Kokkinakis's 34%
  • Thanasi Kokkinakis serves aces on 12% of points vs Rafael Jodar's 6%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Rafael Jodar to win71%1.41—
Thanasi Kokkinakis to win29%3.42—
Match Winner — Rafael Jodar—1.11—
Match Winner — Thanasi Kokkinakis—9.25—