Raphael Collignon v Alexei Popyrin
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Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-05 · 17:20

Raphael Collignon v Alexei Popyrin

Recommended bet
Raphael Collignon
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability63%
Implied (with margin)65%
Model edge-3.1%
Odds1.54 8/15
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Raphael Collignon61%
Alexei Popyrin40%
$11,546 liquidity · $102 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Raphael Collignon double-faults on 6% of serve points vs Alexei Popyrin's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Raphael Collignon to win65%1.55—
Alexei Popyrin to win35%2.82—
Match Winner — Alexei Popyrin—2.55—
Match Winner — Raphael Collignon—1.54—