Renata Zarazua v Aryna Sabalenka
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Tennis·WTA China Open· 2026-10-02 · 11:00

Renata Zarazua v Aryna Sabalenka

Recommended bet
Aryna Sabalenka
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability96%
Implied (with margin)97%
Model edge-0.9%
Odds1.03 1/33
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Renata Zarazua3%
Aryna Sabalenka97%
$34,188 liquidity · $9,280 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Aryna Sabalenka holds serve 79% of games vs Renata Zarazua's 62%
  • Aryna Sabalenka serves aces on 6% of points vs Renata Zarazua's 2%
  • Aryna Sabalenka saves 63% of break points vs Renata Zarazua's 53%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Aryna Sabalenka to win89%1.12—
Renata Zarazua to win11%9.38—
Match Winner — Aryna Sabalenka—1.03—
Match Winner — Renata Zarazua—28.00—