Sara Bejlek v Iga Swiatek
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Tennis·WTA Canadian Open· 2026-08-04 · 16:30

Sara Bejlek v Iga Swiatek

Recommended bet
Iga Swiatek
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability87%
Implied (with margin)89%
Model edge-2.9%
Odds1.12 1/8
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Sara Bejlek12%
Iga Swiatek89%
$38,179 liquidity · $3,941 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Iga Swiatek holds serve 77% of games vs Sara Bejlek's 62%
  • Iga Swiatek saves 59% of break points vs Sara Bejlek's 51%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Iga Swiatek to win82%1.22—
Sara Bejlek to win18%5.59—
Match Winner — Iga Swiatek—1.12—
Match Winner — Sara Bejlek—8.40—