Shintaro Mochizuki v Fabian Marozsan
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Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-03 · 15:00

Shintaro Mochizuki v Fabian Marozsan

Recommended bet
Fabian Marozsan
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability65%
Implied (with margin)63%
Model edge+2.9%
Odds1.58 4/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Shintaro Mochizuki37%
Fabian Marozsan64%
$27,382 liquidity · $455 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Fabian Marozsan holds serve 80% of games vs Shintaro Mochizuki's 73%
  • Shintaro Mochizuki double-faults on 5% of serve points vs Fabian Marozsan's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Fabian Marozsan to win70%1.43—
Shintaro Mochizuki to win30%3.32—
Match Winner — Fabian Marozsan—1.58—
Match Winner — Shintaro Mochizuki—2.68—