Sho Shimabukuro v Marin Cilic
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Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-02 · 22:00

Sho Shimabukuro v Marin Cilic

Recommended bet
Marin Cilic
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability56%
Implied (with margin)57%
Model edge-1.0%
Odds1.76 8/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Sho Shimabukuro44%
Marin Cilic56%
$93,640 liquidity · $3,820 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Marin Cilic saves 65% of break points vs Sho Shimabukuro's 55%
Best valueSho Shimabukuro+4.8% EV@ 2.28highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Marin Cilic to win54%1.85—
Sho Shimabukuro to win46%2.17—
Match Winner — Marin Cilic—1.76—
Match Winner — Sho Shimabukuro—2.28—