Shuai Zhang v Jelena Ostapenko
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Tennis·WTA Canadian Open· 2026-08-04 · 19:30

Shuai Zhang v Jelena Ostapenko

Recommended bet
Jelena Ostapenko
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability69%
Implied (with margin)70%
Model edge-1.8%
Odds1.43 4/9
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Shuai Zhang30%
Jelena Ostapenko71%
$25,822 liquidity · $13,062 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Jelena Ostapenko double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Shuai Zhang's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Jelena Ostapenko to win58%1.71—
Shuai Zhang to win42%2.41—
Match Winner — Jelena Ostapenko—1.43—
Match Winner — Shuai Zhang—3.40—