Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-05 · 15:00

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Joao Fonseca

Recommended bet

Joao Fonseca

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketMed

Win probability57%

Implied (with margin)56%

Model edge+0.3%

Odds1.77 4/5

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Stefanos Tsitsipas44%

Joao Fonseca56%

$18,299 liquidity · $1,155 traded · data from Polymarket

Best valueJoao Fonseca+6.9% EV@ 1.77highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Joao Fonseca to win60%1.66—

Stefanos Tsitsipas to win40%2.52—

Match Winner — Joao Fonseca—1.77—

Match Winner — Stefanos Tsitsipas—2.16—