Taylor Fritz v Francisco Cerundolo
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Tennis·ATP US Open· 2026-09-05 · 15:00

Taylor Fritz v Francisco Cerundolo

Recommended bet
Taylor Fritz
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)83%
Model edge-7.5%
Odds1.20 1/5
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Taylor Fritz84%
Francisco Cerundolo17%
$10,995 liquidity · $1,041 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Taylor Fritz holds serve 88% of games vs Francisco Cerundolo's 77%
  • Francisco Cerundolo wins 40% of return points vs Taylor Fritz's 35%
  • Taylor Fritz serves aces on 14% of points vs Francisco Cerundolo's 5%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Taylor Fritz to win58%1.71—
Francisco Cerundolo to win42%2.40—
Match Winner — Francisco Cerundolo—5.80—
Match Winner — Taylor Fritz—1.21—