Taylor Fritz v Mattia Bellucci
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Taylor Fritz v Mattia Bellucci
Recommended bet
Taylor Fritz
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability83%
Implied (with margin)87%
Model edge-4.6%
Odds1.15 2/13
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Taylor Fritz86%
Mattia Bellucci14%
Why the model leans this way
- Taylor Fritz holds serve 88% of games vs Mattia Bellucci's 77%
- Mattia Bellucci double-faults on 4% of serve points vs Taylor Fritz's 2%
- Taylor Fritz serves aces on 14% of points vs Mattia Bellucci's 9%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Taylor Fritz to win77%1.29—
Mattia Bellucci to win23%4.40—
Match Winner — Mattia Bellucci—6.25—
Match Winner — Taylor Fritz—1.16—