Taylor Fritz v Mattia Bellucci
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Taylor Fritz v Mattia Bellucci
Recommended bet
Taylor Fritz
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability86%
Implied (with margin)89%
Model edge-3.6%
Odds1.12 1/8
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Taylor Fritz89%
Mattia Bellucci12%
Why the model leans this way
- Taylor Fritz holds serve 88% of games vs Mattia Bellucci's 77%
- Mattia Bellucci double-faults on 4% of serve points vs Taylor Fritz's 2%
- Taylor Fritz serves aces on 14% of points vs Mattia Bellucci's 9%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Taylor Fritz to win77%1.29—
Mattia Bellucci to win23%4.39—
Match Winner — Mattia Bellucci—8.80—
Match Winner — Taylor Fritz—1.15—