Taylor Fritz v Rafael Jodar
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Tennis·ATP Washington Open· 2026-08-03 · 17:00

Taylor Fritz v Rafael Jodar

Recommended bet
Taylor Fritz
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability59%
Implied (with margin)63%
Model edge-5.7%
Odds1.60 8/13
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Taylor Fritz62%
Rafael Jodar39%
$246,009 liquidity · $489,401 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Taylor Fritz holds serve 88% of games vs Rafael Jodar's 79%
  • Rafael Jodar wins 40% of return points vs Taylor Fritz's 35%
  • Taylor Fritz serves aces on 14% of points vs Rafael Jodar's 6%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Rafael Jodar to win51%1.95—
Taylor Fritz to win49%2.05—
Match Winner — Rafael Jodar—2.66—
Match Winner — Taylor Fritz—1.60—