Thiago Agustin Tirante v Taylor Fritz
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Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-05 · 17:20

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Taylor Fritz

Recommended bet
Taylor Fritz
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)86%
Model edge-7.0%
Odds1.16 2/13
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Thiago Agustin Tirante19%
Taylor Fritz82%
$11,724 liquidity · $369 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Taylor Fritz holds serve 88% of games vs Thiago Agustin Tirante's 81%
  • Taylor Fritz serves aces on 14% of points vs Thiago Agustin Tirante's 9%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Taylor Fritz to win65%1.54—
Thiago Agustin Tirante to win35%2.87—
Match Winner — Taylor Fritz—1.19—
Match Winner — Thiago Agustin Tirante—6.00—