Tennis·ATP Halle Open· 2026-06-16 · 09:30

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Daniil Medvedev

Recommended bet

Daniil Medvedev

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh

Win probability77%

Implied (with margin)82%

Model edge-6.5%

Odds1.22 2/9

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Tomas Martin Etcheverry25%

Daniil Medvedev76%

$22,051 liquidity · $2,296 traded · data from Polymarket

Why the model leans this way

Daniil Medvedev double-faults on 5% of serve points vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry's 2%
Daniil Medvedev wins 40% of return points vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry's 36%

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Daniil Medvedev to win73%1.38—

Tomas Martin Etcheverry to win27%3.66—

Match Winner — Daniil Medvedev—1.25—

Match Winner — Tomas Martin Etcheverry—4.20—