Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Mariano Navone
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Tennis·ATP US Open· 2026-09-04 · 15:00

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Mariano Navone

Recommended bet
Mariano Navone
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability50%
Implied (with margin)52%
Model edge-3.6%
Odds1.93 10/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Tomas Martin Etcheverry49%
Mariano Navone52%
$47,969 liquidity · $1,445 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Tomas Martin Etcheverry holds serve 82% of games vs Mariano Navone's 72%
  • Mariano Navone wins 41% of return points vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry's 36%
  • Tomas Martin Etcheverry serves aces on 8% of points vs Mariano Navone's 3%
Best valueTomas Martin Etcheverry+8.1% EV@ 2.02highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Tomas Martin Etcheverry to win54%1.87
Mariano Navone to win46%2.15
Match Winner — Mariano Navone1.93
Match Winner — Tomas Martin Etcheverry2.02