Tennis·ATP US Open· 2026-09-06 · 15:00

Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraz

Recommended bet

Carlos Alcaraz

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh

Win probability77%

Implied (with margin)78%

Model edge-0.9%

Odds1.29 2/7

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Tommy Paul19%

Carlos Alcaraz82%

$34,171 liquidity · $327 traded · data from Polymarket

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Carlos Alcaraz to win67%1.50—

Tommy Paul to win33%3.00—

Match Winner — Carlos Alcaraz—1.29—

Match Winner — Tommy Paul—4.75—