Tommy Paul v Ugo Humbert
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Tommy Paul v Ugo Humbert
Recommended bet
Tommy Paul
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability61%
Implied (with margin)62%
Model edge-0.7%
Odds1.62 8/13
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Tommy Paul61%
Ugo Humbert39%
Why the model leans this way
- Tommy Paul wins 39% of return points vs Ugo Humbert's 35%
Best valueTommy Paul+2.9% EV@ 1.62highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Tommy Paul to win64%1.57—
Ugo Humbert to win36%2.74—
Match Winner — Tommy Paul—1.71—
Match Winner — Ugo Humbert—2.52—