Zachary Svajda v Denis Shapovalov
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Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-03 · 15:00

Zachary Svajda v Denis Shapovalov

Recommended bet
Denis Shapovalov
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability56%
Implied (with margin)57%
Model edge-1.0%
Odds1.76 8/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Zachary Svajda44%
Denis Shapovalov56%
$92,719 liquidity · $791 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Denis Shapovalov double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Zachary Svajda's 3%
  • Denis Shapovalov wins 37% of return points vs Zachary Svajda's 34%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Denis Shapovalov to win57%1.76—
Zachary Svajda to win43%2.31—
Match Winner — Denis Shapovalov—1.76—
Match Winner — Zachary Svajda—2.26—