Zizou Bergs v Sebastian Baez
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Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-05 · 15:00

Zizou Bergs v Sebastian Baez

Recommended bet
Zizou Bergs
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability59%
Implied (with margin)63%
Model edge-5.8%
Odds1.60 8/13
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Zizou Bergs62%
Sebastian Baez39%
$9,975 liquidity · $10 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Zizou Bergs holds serve 80% of games vs Sebastian Baez's 73%
  • Zizou Bergs double-faults on 5% of serve points vs Sebastian Baez's 2%
  • Sebastian Baez wins 39% of return points vs Zizou Bergs's 36%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Zizou Bergs to win53%1.90—
Sebastian Baez to win47%2.11—
Match Winner — Sebastian Baez—2.50—
Match Winner — Zizou Bergs—1.60—